We are currently seeing the rage in Fraction Jet markets slow, perhaps due to competition and availability. But many folks who were NetJet type clientele are now purchasing used and new. Also the very small jets are now the next rage with many new companies coming into play and some established ones going for that market too; such as Honda, Raytheon, Cessna, etc. Some things are looking up for instance Aerospace Engineers Needed; http://www.bizjournals.com/wichita/stories/2006/04/03/story1.html The Commercial Airline Industry looks good too, India, China, and re-alignment of Airlines, capacity is less, airline flights are full, revenues increasing although the big kicker is the 67 dollar a barrel oil prices. Also they will go higher with War in Iran and Hurricane Season refining supply bottlenecks and commodity price plays. Indeed either way China is coming on line and thirsty for fuel also and even with the airline employee union give backs and negotiations downward trend, we may see some not so easy, but workable times for US Airline Carriers. Truck loads are down and we have all the makings of a downward business cycle if the Federal Government stops spending and they will. Could cause a Democrat strengthening, could therefore mean higher taxes, with higher interest rates and higher oil prices. Boeing still sees need for aircraft in commercial passenger and freight sectors; I think I also agree. Along with some Military aviation sales from the US to UK, Australia, Japan, UAE, Saudis, India, etc. Pakistan too. Meanwhile China is buying Russian made fighters and lots still up in the Air. Airbus sees smoother skies too, although I would bet on Boeing personally from what I see here today in the world. Boeing agrees, read article; Boeing says Business is also Booming; http://www.bizjournals.com/southflorida/stories/2006/04/03/story5.html We are also seeing some new general aviation competition in India and expect them to dominate the rest of the world on that soon, 5-8 years out. Cessna, Mooney and Beech/Raytheon may still hold value, but price is an issue and China will be making cars and planes, if they can straighten out their issues with raw materials, energy, pollution, safe money flows and their impending Labor Industrial Revolution which all countries which exploit labor always face during peak growth times, expect it and think on all these converging factors and how they affect aviation. Good day. |
